Storm Chase of April 26th, 2014.
This was the first *real* of the year. My target area was Lincoln, Nebraska. Now, on the Monday and Tuesday before this, Saturday looked like it could be a pretty huge day. But by that Wednesday, the outlook was not so great looking. But, there was a chance that a supercell or two could form.…
Possible Storm Chase on Saturday
Saturday is great for some severe weather in southern Kansas and Oklahoma. If it keeps looking like it looks right now, I’m going to do my best to go storm chasing. It’ll kind of depend on whether or not I can get off of work on Friday. Otherwise, I may have to pull an all…
…Annnnnd we’re back to winter…
After a weekend in the 70s, it is now in the upper 30s/low 40s and snowing. *Hopefully*, this will be our last snowfall until like November. The GFS does show us getting one more snow event, but it’s at 300 hours out, so I’m not putting too much stock into that forecast. For the rest…
Possible Storm Chase on Saturday
This one snuck up on me a little bit. But The Storm Prediction Center has given northern Illinois and parts of eastern and southern Iowa a Slight Risk for tomorrow. I’m in the process of doing an analysis of the event. But one thing I can say right away is it will be an unusual…
Slow Start to the Year
We are definitely off to a slow start this year, tornado-wise. The U.S. averages about 80 tornadoes in the month of March, with the March of 2014 only recording 25 tornadoes. In April, the U.S. averages around 155 tornadoes. So far this April, we’ve had 11 tornadoes. Granted, it’s early yet; and one large outbreak…
First Storm Chase of the Year
I went on my first storm chase of the year today. It wouldn’t be accurate to describe the chase as “disappointing,” as I had a very pessimistic outlook of seeing anything today. What’s the saying, “keep your expectations low and you’ll never be disappointed?” Anyway, I saw nothing but rain today. To see a more…
Storm Chase of April 3rd, 2014.
First storm chase of the year! I had high hopes for this day in the proceeding days up until this event. But the morning of the event, I was much more pessimistic. For one, I didn’t have what I would call a “free range of opportunities.” By that, I mean that I couldn’t chase where…
Spring Is Finally Here
Temperatures across northern Illinois (as I write this,) are in the low to mid 40s. More importantly, it’s looking like these temperatures are here to stay; for the most part. Tomorrow the temperatures will dip back down a bit, and Sunday morning could be in the single digits. But by Sunday afternoon, temperatures across the…
Glimmer of Hope, or Maybe Just a Mirage
Looking at the long range GFS (I know, I know,) there is something that caught my eye. (Image missing.) This is the surface temperatures, winds, and MSLP at 276 hours out. Yes, that is super ridiculously far out. Yes, it’ll most likely change. But with the lows position in northern Wisconsin, and northern Illinois sitting…
Re: Next Severe Weather Event
Yeah, the latest runs of the GFS have already completely changed the previously described scenario. The low that was originally progged to move through the area on March 2 isn’t even there any more. But that’s what I get for being hopeful about forecast models at over 200 hours out. The GFS does show a…