Hitting The Road Tomorrow (Monday)!
I have decided that I am hitting the road for Nebraska tomorrow, leaving at noon at the latest. To confirm I made a good choice, the Storm Prediction Center has upgraded Tuesday to a Moderate Risk. Wish me luck!
Update on Tueday
Thermodynamically, Tuesday still looks very good. What is giving me pause about Tuesday is storm mode. The GFS and NAM are in agreement about a more derecho-like event taking place. The question is will there be any supercells before that takes place. The GFS says yes, the NAM says no. I’d really hate to drive…
Storm Chase on Tuesday
Tuesday is looking like possibly the best storm chase day of the year, based on terrain and atmospheric conditions. As such, I will be in the field chasing. At the moment, I’m setting my initial target area as Kearney, Nebraska. Of course, that may change in the coming days as the forecast models get a…
Storm Chase of 20 May, 2014
This chase was a kind of a spur of the moment thing. Earlier in the day, the SPC had 5% tornado probability right overhead. That eventually got downgraded to 2%. But during the late afternoon/early evening there were some strong storms moving into northern Illinois. One storm in particular, heading towards Dekalb, was looking supercellular;…
Fun With Time Lapse
Had several rounds of thunderstorms pass through today. Here’s some time lapses I made. This was my first time doing a time lapse, so I’m still figuring out the best time interval.
Tornado Outbreak on Mother’s Day
The Storm Prediction Center has already given tomorrow a Moderate Risk, I wouldn’t be surprised at an upgrade to High Risk later tonight. Eastern Nebraska, western Iowa, northwestern Missouri, and Kansas are all under the gun. With CAPE values nearing and possibly exceeding 4,000 j/kg, and pretty extreme helicity values near the warm front, multiple…
Storm Chase of 8 May, 2014
Originally I wasn’t planning on chasing this day. It didn’t look like a good enough shot at seeing anything to warrant my driving all the way to Iowa or Minnesota. But, the Storm Prediction Center upgrading the day to Moderate Risk did help sway my opinion a little bit, so I ended up going. I…
First High Risk Days/Multi-day Outbreak of 2014
We just had out first multi-day tornado outbreak of the year. 32 people were killed during the three-day severe weather event. Tornadoes of note include the Mayflower-Vilonia, Arkansas tornado on Sunday evening, which has the preliminary rating of EF-3 and it killed 14 people, and the Louisville, Mississippi EF-4, which killed 9 people. As for…
Storm Chase of April 27th, 2014.
Day two of my storm chase mini-vacation to eastern Nebraska. Also, it was the first High Risk day of 2014, although I did not chase anywhere near the High Risk (or Moderate Risk, for the matter,) location. I woke up that morning to thunder from a slow moving Mesoscale Convective System that seemed to sit…